Would a NATO country enter Ukrainian airspace? Attack Russia’s Black Sea fleet? Respond with nuclear strikes of its own?
Our forecasts have recently been featured in: Wired: Worried About Nuclear War? Consider the Micromorts The Week: "the world renowned Swift Centre..." The i paper: Will Putin use nuclear weapons? Superforecasters say risk of a Russia nuclear attack is small but very real Unherd: Will Russia push the nuclear button?