Mission and Methodology
Our mission: “We turn uncertainty into foresight, enabling confident, well-informed decisions.”
Our vision: “To be the trusted source of clarity in an uncertain world - helping decision-makers manage risks and seize opportunities before they happen.”
Methodology
Forecasting is rooted in decades of rigorous scientific research through structured tournaments, psychological studies, and statistical methodologies. One landmark project, the Good Judgment Project led by Philip Tetlock and Barbara Mellers, demonstrated that certain individuals (“superforecasters”) consistently outperformed others through a combination of cognitive ability, probabilistic reasoning, open-minded thinking, and systematic training.
The Swift Centre was founded by former managing director and superforecaster at the Good Judgment Project, Michael Story, to leverage the application of forecasting research for real-world problems.
The Swift forecasting team is built from a global network of impartial and highly-calibrated individuals who work together to provide valuable insights and predictions that can inform strategic decision-making in a variety of industries and sectors.
Team:
Michael Story
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Eleanor Parr
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James Newport
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Cora Consigny
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