Anticipate the future - don’t just react to it.
Our scenario analysis helps you see not just what could happen, but what to do about it.
Cut through noise, uncertainty, and hype. If your success depends on how the world might shift, we can tell you how likely it is and why.
Our team includes award winners and the top 1% of forecasters in the world - measured, ranked, and publicly validated.
Open Nuclear Network
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Google DeepMind
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Open Philanthropy
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Department for Science, Innovation and Technology
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Metrea Aerospace
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AI Risk Mitigation Network
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CapX
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Financial Times
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Oxfordshire County Council
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Anthropic
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Open Nuclear Network 〇 Google DeepMind 〇 Open Philanthropy 〇 Department for Science, Innovation and Technology 〇 Metrea Aerospace 〇 AI Risk Mitigation Network 〇 CapX 〇 Financial Times 〇 Oxfordshire County Council 〇 Anthropic 〇
Benefits of forecasting
Forecasts are probabilistic - they estimate how likely different outcomes are.
This supports better planning, resource allocation, risk management, and decision making.
Forecasting is the practice of making informed predictions about the future. We apply data, structured reasoning, and the expertise of the top 1% of forecasters in the world - measured, ranked, and publicly validated - to estimate what is most likely to happen.
For strategy, innovation, risk management, and policy-making, we can help you identify risks or opportunities, and answer questions like:
“Will AI regulation in the UK keep pace with global competitors over the next two years?”
“How likely is a cyberattack that could disrupt our customers' access to core services in the next 18 months?”
“What’s the probability that a geopolitical conflict in “x” region will destabilise energy markets and impact liquidity?”
“What are the chances that quantum computing materially disrupts our industry within three years?”
“What’s the probability that our product gains 10% market share within 12 months?”
“What is the likelihood of frontier AI systems having ‘x’ capability within the next 2 years?”
What about “What if’s”?
To inform the very specific risks, opportunities, and decisions you need to make, the Swift Centre specialises in conditional forecasting - helping you to answer the common “what if?” questions.
Rather than predicting the future in general, it estimates outcomes based on a specific decision, policy, or strategic move that you or others may make. This enables you to robustly stress-test options and strategies. For example:
“If we diversify our supplier base, how likely are we to avoid service disruption during a future conflict?”
“If ‘x’ country makes regulatory changes to accelerate open banking adoption, what’s the probability of significant competitive shifts in the next two years?”
The Swift Centre exists to help you cut through noise and uncertainty.
Whether you need sharper scenarios for resilience testing, or insights to shape long-term strategy -
we deliver clear, actionable, and decision relevant forecasts.
“If the government mandates open banking APIs for SMEs, how likely is it to boost fintech innovation in the next 2 years?”